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TRANSPARENT REAL ESTATE

Fed Drops Rates to .25% - Three Signs Augur a Renewed Housing Market


During the week of November 24, mortgage rates dropped sharply as the government announced its $600 billion planned purchases of distressed Fannie/Freddie loans. Mortgage applications jumped but now are subsiding into December; one reason is consumers are watching to see whether rates go lower. Now that the Fed has dropped its discount rate to .25% today, it's certain mortgage rates will continue to drop.

Consumers are now preparing to pull the trigger on housing as soon as they see the bottom. This January, three positive signs will converge to augur renewed real estate activity:
  1. Obama has pledged to stabilize the housing markets with an aggressive stimulus plan, and according to CNBC today, continued massive buyout of bad mortgages. It's all part of his "Big Bang" inaugural plan.
  2. The Fed, by essentially dropping interest rates to 0% will continue to loosen credit by pushing mortgage interest rates towards 4.50%, a target 30-year fixed rate that has gelled in the consumer minds. Once that rate hits 4.50%, consumers will likely consider that rate the bottom (they will likely not see again in their lifetime) and will jump off the fence.
  3. Housing starts continue to drop to record lows, easing inventory pressure.

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@RE_Twittrers Update


Appreciations to all who have joined the list of real estate Twitterers at @RE_Twittrers.

When introducing @RE_Twittrers last week, I mentioned that you don't necessarily have to follow @RE_Twittrers because I was expecting to use the account as a database.

I realize I can send occasional tweets about new Twitter applications that are useful to the Twitter experience, and can also retweet any other news or application suggestions sent to @RE_Twittrers for consumption by the @RE_Twittrers crowd.

So although I suggested not signing up at @RE_Twittrers before, if you'd like to receive these updates, please follow. Thanks!


--pk

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New Business Models for Homescopes


The launch of Homescopes last week as the first real estate site devoted to breaking news on the Bay Area housing markets has prompted an overwhelming flurry of ideas and interest.

Over at Media Transparent, I write on higher level strategies that can be applied across social media business models beyond real estate. Today, I'm describing some of the new business models we're working on with the Homescopes team: partnerships with the mass media like the local online press, development of the Homescopes social graph as it becomes a trusted source of information. Check it out...

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Entrepreneurial Real Estate Marketing

Through our
Social Media Marketing Workshops, we've been working with real estate professionals systematically to build their online presence without necessarily blogging. The objective is to leverage the social media tools - blogs, Twitter, Delicious, Friendfeed, Feedfuze - to continuously "broadcast" expertise in their local housing markets, and capture consumer eyeballs who need this real time data to pull the trigger on their transaction.

The next marketing step is to build the websites and social networks that generate traffic to augment online presence. We're pointing to Homescopes as a template for the next generation of independently and cooperatively run breaking news hyperlocal real estate sites.

"Together with Domus Consulting Group, we developed one of the first independent blog networks for hyperlocal real estate information, Homescopes, and launched it in 2007. We're now positioning Homescopes to be the leading breaking news source for the Northern California housing markets, and expect that consumers will be compelled to follow our collective news feeds before they pull the trigger. The best part about the Homescopes experience is the auto-pilot factor; development was easy and once launched, we ignored it and let it distribute our content for us."

"We're now expanding Homescopes to 100 agents, and believe it will become a valuable lead generating online asset in its own right. Anybody can develop a "Homescopes" for their market and reap the benefits of owning your own online marketing resource. This really is the new wave to become a successful real estate agent."

Marian S. Bennett, Realtor

ColdwellBanker

http://www.mariansbennett.com/

(650) 712-2460

We're now working with agents who have been attending our workshops to develop new "Homescopes" in cities across America. The cost and risk are minimal, all it takes is agent networking for a common goal. Brokerages and organizations like the regional CRS chapters have also responded because after all, they are already established Realtor groups.

To help brokerages and groups of agents build these new web properties, we unveiled our new workshop series starting January 16 - Social Media Marketing 301 - the MBA Course. The curriculum and testimonials are here.

Related links:

Homescopes - Providing Breaking Housing Market News for the SF Bay Area
How Micro-blogging Will Affect Blogging
Update: for bloggers, Active Rainers and other more experienced social media participants, you can now concurrently enroll (at a discount) in both the 101 and 301 courses starting in January. 101 is geared to learning the social media/broadcasting system (comments on our Twitter group), and 301 extends further to developing real estate marketing web properties based on the social media system. 


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Finding all the Real Estate Twitterers



A while back, I produced a list of Twitterers in Real Estate. I noticed other Real Estate Twitterer lists being produced, but realized the cataloguing of Twitter URLs was too time consuming, and for readers too tedious to click on each link.

So just to make cataloguing of all Twitterers in Real Estate easy, I offer up @The RE List comprised right now of all the Real Estate Twitterers from my @pkitano account that I can identify. If you're a Twitter newbie, it will be easy to create a real estate network by clicking the "follow" button.

If you're on the RE List, you don't even need to follow back. If you're not on this RE List, follow it (updates are protected), and I'll follow back and this will add you to the list.


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Chinese Investing in California Real Estate?


From Financial Times - Chinese Property Hunters to Raid US:

Chinese bargain hunters are preparing to descend on American cities such as Los Angeles and San Francisco, where homeowners have suffered some of the steepest price falls in the US.

SouFun, the biggest real estate website in China, is organising a trip next month to look at properties in California and possibly Nevada. Liu Jian, the company’s chief operating officer, said about 300 people had expressed interest in the idea in the three days since it was advertised, though the company would take only a small group on the first trip.

Have global investors given up on stocks and looking at which asset class seems to be hitting bottom first? A case can be made with US real estate - a transparent investment (compared to other countries like China) that seems now on the verge of being propped up by the Fed/Treasury's "low interest rate and kitchen sink" strategy to stabilize the housing markets.

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Homescopes - Providing Breaking Housing Market News for the SF Bay Area


The housing market is at a critical juncture now that the Fed/Treasury is pushing mortgage rates down to as low as 4.50% for the 30 year fixed. Consumers active in the housing market need real time, updated information to analyze the market, just as they would making other investment and stock trading decisions.

Homescopes, one of the first blog networks aggregating the blogs of individual agents in Northern California, is the first to launch a news feed providing real time local coverage of the San Francisco Bay Area housing market. The news feed widget, developed by Portalfuze, automatically delivers breaking news from a variety of sources: Homescopes' bloggers, related real estate news mainstream media sources and soon, new listings from IDX feeds and foreclosure databases. In addition, Homescopes' agents will add their real time interpretations on the market via micro-blogging services like Twitter and Friendfeed, and bookmarking services like Delicious, Diigo and Dwellicious.

Homescopes' news feed works because ten agents are automatically distributing their news updates and blog content through the site. Homescopes is expanding across Northern California and adding new agents. It's a perfect avenue for distributing your content (but you do need to know the Social Broadcasting System) Contact Marian Bennett (650) 712-2460 / mb (at) MarianSBennett.com / Twitter  for details.

The New Brokerage Website that's not based on a Brokerage

Homescopes is the first of many regional/local real estate newsfeed social networks under development. Our company, Domus Consulting Group, is developing these networks through our web conferenced Social Media Marketing Workshops. We're starting our next series on Friday, December 5 @ 10:30 running over 12 weeks. Jeff Dowler, Jason Crouch and our participants have written about our Workshops. If you're interested in starting or participating in a real estate newsfeed network, please register for our Workshops or contact me.

The New Brokerage Website that is based on an Actual Brokerage

We're also working with a number of brokerages nationwide to implement the newsfeed System (it's free, really!), and coaching their agents on how to use the System through our Workshops above. Agents like the System because it doesn't require blogging and gets real time online traffic. Here are some past articles that describe the Social Broadcasting System:

Real estate brokerage sites and broadcast media
The social media system
How micro-blogging will affect blogging
The new broadcasting real estate website (slideshow) 
The new broadcasting brokerage website (text version)
Creating the conversational web (slideshow)
The Social Broadcasting System ( a kind of white paper)

Update: Fidelity Investments has added news feeds to serve their customer base. More about breaking news websites at sister site Media Transparent.

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The Return of the Mortgage Rates

What caused the stock market to propel upward today in the face of horrendous global and national economic news? CNBC says it's the Treasury's new plan to stabilize the housing markets by lowering lending rates and pushing the banks to lend at these rates, and the uptick in refinance applications. Here's today's news on mortgages that moved the market from a bleak 200 point Dow loss to a 170 point gain:

Borrowers rush to refinance - Mortgage applications up 112.1% last week, due to drop in rates: MBA

U.S. homes now undervalued, economists say

Treasury Eyes Plan to Lift Home Sales
The plan, which is in the development stage, would temporarily use the clout of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to encourage banks to lend at rates as low as 4.5%, more than a full percentage point lower than prevailing rates for a standard 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.
Pimco's Gross says 30-year mortgage rates may fall to 4.5% - Bill Gross called this before the Treasury press release.
--------

Detractors say lower mortgage rates won't really help when nobody can put up the down payments... Plunge in Mortgage Rates won't End Housing Slump



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BrokerAgentSocial - an Unusual Real Estate Social Network

The real estate blogosphere is mature and well defined. The bloggers, Active Rainers, Facebookers and Twitterers all follow each other and know each other. The new social network BrokerAgentSocial is remarkably different in that I and others I've messaged like Kristal and Derek don't recognize any of the "Usual Suspects". Here are the members I know of a total 4,800 members

Kristal Kraft
Stefan Swanepoel
Jeff Dowler
Jennifer Fivelsdal
Laurie Manny
Derek Overbey
Frances Flynn Thorsen
Vicki Lloyd
Colleen Kulikowski

Question: How do all these thousands of real estate agents find BrokerAgentSocial?
Observation: On the other hand, pleased to see thousands of brand new agent faces beginning to adopt social media.


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How Micro-blogging Will Affect Blogging

A couple of weeks ago, I posted on the HomeGain blog a 9-step list on how to adapt a micro-blogging approach to a blog.  I agree the steps describe a completely different way of creating an online presence than through the traditional "write a three paragraph blog article" 2-3 times per week. This alternative method focuses on developing a more continuous (even hourly), active online presence that consumers interested in breaking local real estate news may want to follow. Since it's a new marketing approach, I expect a lot of debate.

Louis of HomeGain counters on his Active Rain blog that none of the AgentView agents have implemented the approach... that's because the method is brand new. We've been working with 150 bloggers and agents on developing this "social media marketing" strategy (partially documented at our #domus Twitter-based collaborative group), so we expect to see proof of concept shortly.

Here's a "reblog" of the HomeGain blog article (again, thanks to Louis and his gang for developing a great blog):

Here’s some quick advice for AgentView real estate agents to manage that new blog you may not know what to do with:

  1. Blog articles are great but they do take time to write. Generally, the first ideas new bloggers have for topics - how-to’s, hyperlocal news - have been done before by other bloggers. It’s hard to differentiate yourself starting up a blog.
  2. So do something different. Think like a journalist; watch out for real-time housing market news and be the first to report it.
  3. Take notes at the tour marketing meetings, subscribe to the feeds of local online news and real estate publications.
  4. Think in sound bites. Whenever you hear something interesting, write a sentence or two in the blog. Be efficient, don’t take more than 3 minutes per idea. Use a cellphone to write it if you’re in a tour meeting or open house.
  5. When you see an interesting article online, cut and paste the article title and create a link to it.
  6. If you write down several ideas per day, you soon accumulate a whole portfolio of ideas and facts that will be displayed on the blog. This content is just as revealing about how you develop business and help clients as blog articles.
  7. You become a go-to source for your market. Prospects will come back again and again to see your new “sound bites”. After all, you’re the only one reporting on a daily basis… this is compelling to a committed home buyer or seller. Analogy - if I’m doing a stock purchase, I’d much rather analyze it in real time on Marketwatch.com than pick up the current Business Week magazine.
  8. You’ll soon realize you can expand on the sound bites to construct more detailed blog articles. You’ll lose your writer’s block.
  9. Finally, it’s easier to automate the whole process of “reporting” using a variety of micro-blogging and bookmarking applications like Twitter , Friendfeed, Tumblr, Delicious and Diigo. This is another story.

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