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Bailout Aftermath's Paradoxical Bedfellows in Pictures

It's shocking to see the socialistic liberals and socialism hating free marketers allied to make financial history... and to see House Republicans handicap their Presidential candidate during the final month of the campaign. The 777 point Dow drop today shaved off over a trillion dollars in value, it's truly a gamble if the economy goes into cardiac arrest due to this complex political play.



Bill O'Reilly defends the bailout, Sept 25, LA Times










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Revenge of the Masses


The Washington Post's twist on the maxim Real Estate is Local.

The failure of the financial bailout bill in the House is a classic example of an old adage: all politics is local.

Despite the fact that President George W. Bush and the leadership of both parties lined up behind the bill, the rank and file of both parties -- particularly on the Republican side -- rebelled in light of polling that showed the American public is deeply skeptical about a planned $700 billion bailout for the financial industry.

With just over one month left before the November election, politicians of both partisan stripes are concerned primarily about one thing: their own political futures.

The marketing failure of the Paulson Plan, aka "Bailout", was simply Bush & Company's inability to persuade the masses that this time is indeed a flashpoint that requires action over inaction, and that it is in their best interest to stop the bloodletting of the credit markets (whether these premises are true or not... we don't know yet).

The Plan was shoved down America's throat; the 500+ politicians could be coddled and educated one-by-one by Bush, Paulson, Bernanke & Company, but the 300 million Americans couldn't be blanket educated on a complex, critical bill in the span of one week. The politicians eventually "got it", but there was no time to educate their constituency and they voted to avoid their ire on November 3.

Who predicted that one?

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The Selling of the Bailout

Paulson did a poor job in the Senate hearings by exacerbating the public perception of bailout as sinkhole. The bailout makes sense in the same way a vulture fund makes sense buying underpriced distress assets to hold for future appreciation. CNBC's Larry Kudlow explains the bailout as a win-win for the taxpayer - Treasury is buying troubled assets at undervalued fire sale prices, say 20c on the dollar. The Treasury / taxpayer still receives cash flow from the bonds, plus any appreciation from future sale once the crisis stabilizes. He also explains his insights in the bailout negotiations over the weekend...

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Senate Bailout Hearings in Pictures (update) - Part 3

Explain this paradox to me!

Wall Street investment bankers are generally rich and Republican



Ex-Goldman Sachs Chairman and Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson was afraid the Democrats were going to quash his Paulson Plan because it would bailout the rich bankers



Deal is almost done



Then, who crashes the party? Who are these House Republicans?



Led by their ringleader



Leading to Hank's kneeling appeal to Saint Nancy:



From New York Times Fate of Bailout Plan Remains Unresolved

Friday morning, on CBS’s “The Early Show,” Representative Barney Frank of Massachusetts, the lead Democratic negotiator, said the bailout had been derailed by internal Republican politics.

“I didn’t know I was going to be the referee for an internal G.O.P. ideological civil war,” Mr. Frank said, according to The A.P.Thursday, in the Roosevelt Room after the session, the Treasury secretary, Henry M. Paulson Jr., literally bent down on one knee as he pleaded with Nancy Pelosi, the House Speaker, not to “blow it up” by withdrawing her party’s support for the package over what Ms. Pelosi derided as a Republican betrayal.

“I didn’t know you were Catholic,” Ms. Pelosi said, a wry reference to Mr. Paulson’s kneeling, according to someone who observed the exchange. She went on: “It’s not me blowing this up, it’s the Republicans.”

Mr. Paulson sighed. “I know. I know.”



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Senate Bailout Hearings in Pictures - Part 2


Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the House




Christopher Dodd, Chairman, Senate Banking Committee


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Explaining the Senate Bailout Hearings in Three Pictures


The Investment Banker


Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson

The Politician


Senator Dick Shelby, former Chairman Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs

The Economist


Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke


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BlogTalkRadio Chat on the Social Media System and Sibdu

While at BlogWorld, friend Bob Woods of Sibdu and I were interviewed by BlogTalkRadio's Shaun Daily about the Social Media System we're developing with Bob's company, about Sibdu and about the housing markets. (tx to BTR's Deb Ng)



We launched our Social Media System at REBlogWorld and updated our website:

Domus Consulting Group is the leader in the development of a new social media platform we simply call the “Social Media System“. This system enables companies, organizations and groups to create powerful effective social networks WITHOUT REQUIRING THEIR PARTICIPANTS TO BLOG. Using various popular applications like Twitter and Friendfeed, and bookmarking tools like del.icio.us, our Social Media System facilitates real time news wires. We developed the System because blogging can be challenging, but participating in the various social media is easy and fun.

For example, the System can be easily incorporated into a typical real estate brokerage site. Real estate agents broadcast market news through Twitter and other micro-blogging applications. The effect is that of a local news wire reporting updated Twitter feeds by a corps of agents. One agent may Twitter “this San Francisco 3BR condo just went for $200k over asking… in this market? Click here - tinyurllink.com“. Readers will click and subscribe to real time news offered by that agent because it keeps them up to date on the markets they are interested in. More importantly, the Twittering agent develops a following and builds a lead network that will benefit from his/her insights into the market. You can see more details of the System at our slide presentation Website 2.0 - Creating the Conversational Web.

Let me know if you'd like to see a demo.


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Paulson's Bailout Plan's Achilles Heel

Paulson Plan Shows A Weakness: Above Market Pricing, Greater Taxpayer Risk

This is the Paulson Plan's achilles heel... the government's plan to purchase toxic debt at face value from the banks instead of an auction based market value transfers the risks to the taxpayers. Paulson counters that the bailout needs to help banks get their balance sheets in order to get credit markets running smoothly again, and a "fire sale" liquidation of bad debt won't really help their balance sheets

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REBlogWorld Contact List


I assemble this list of everybody I met at REBlogWorld over the weekend more for my record keeping. I know I missed a few of you, and I hope we meet up at another venue. In no particular order:

Pleased to f2f for the first (possibly second) time:


Lynda Eisenmann
Marlene Bridges
Stacey Harmon
Mana Tulberg
Irina Netchaev
Phil Sexton
Jan OBrien
David Smith
Chris Shouse
Mariana Wagner
Danilo Bogdanovic
Kyle Berube, Trulia
Teri Lussier
Scott Lockhart - Regator blog aggregation
Kelley Koehler
Bill Rice
Ted Mackel
Ricardo Bueno

Pleased to meet you for the second time:

Dru Bloomfield
John Novak
Rich Jacobsen
Bob Woods
Ginger Wilcox
Heather Elias
Nick Bastian

and the regulars, it seems we've been together since birth:

Mike Price
Teresa Boardman
Dan Green
Matt Fagioli
Marissa Louie
Jeff Brown
Duc Haba
Rob Hahn
Mike Simonsen
Jim Duncan
Jeff Turner
David Gibbons
Derek Overbey
Niknik & Reg
Dustin
Brad Coy
Morgan Brown
Paul Chaney
Daniel Rothamel
Mike Mueller
Matt Heaton

and enormous thanks Todd and Jason for putting on a great show.

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Don't Bet Against, or For, this Market


The market rallied (Dow + 410) in the last hour on Treasury Secretary
Henry Paulson's proposal to set up a bad bonds facility similar to the Resolution Trust Corporation, set up in 1989 to house the failed assets of the savings and loans debacle. The Fed has been acting as a pure wild card in moving the markets, using surprise announcements as weapons for market optimists and pessimists alike. I'm surprised anyone is investing at all, but trading volumes are booming:



Bet against stocks and the Fed steps in with measures - today's bad bonds facility, surprise rate cuts, a bailout - that promotes a market sigh of relief.

Bet for financials, like buying Freddie/Fannie and the Fed unexpectedly bails them out and drives the equity price to zero. Then, the Fed will pull out the "moral hazard" joker as they did with Lehman, to ensure that investors don't get used to the idea that the Fed is Santa Claus (on behalf of the taxpayer...)

This is like playing that kind of poker game little kids play - where 2's, 5's, 7's and J's are wild - after a few rounds, it's tiresome to be holding random hands and out of control outcomes.

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