Tomorrow's Bond Market Test
Dow up 936... today, CNBC is showing various examples of capitulation of investors like Summer Redstone forced to sell late last week to meet debt covenants.
The next test is tomorrow's opening of the bond markets, on holiday today. Watch for how much the TED spread the difference between the interbank loan rate (based on the Libor) and the short term Treasury rate, shrinks. The spread had been hitting highs of over 4% last week, but if it drops towards 100bp, it will be a sign that the credit crisis in its current incarnation, is over.
The next test is tomorrow's opening of the bond markets, on holiday today. Watch for how much the TED spread the difference between the interbank loan rate (based on the Libor) and the short term Treasury rate, shrinks. The spread had been hitting highs of over 4% last week, but if it drops towards 100bp, it will be a sign that the credit crisis in its current incarnation, is over.
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